
right.
the premiership eh?
i'll get it out of the way up-front - i think it is the best league in the world. no, really. i'm partial to spanish football, and when i move into my new flat and get my sky sports arranged, i will probably bore you about that as well. but its not as good.
i'm also probably completely biased, but let us forget this.
onwards with some opening weekend thoughts. i'm aiming for ten, but i may give up before then.
1. don't get excited about this man just yet. chelsea were good, of course. but pompey - a team that is likely to regress this season, having lost (and not replaced) muntari and failed to recruit the wingers they desperately needed (no, glen little and jerome thomas do not count) - were awful. the defending was shoddy, allowing chelsea far too much room & not adequately picking up runners. i still have no idea what younes kaboul was doing.
against a team pushing their full-backs forward and flooding the midfield, pompey needed to match numbers in central midfield and look to exploit the space behind bosingwa (who looked good, but is not a particularly good defender) and cole. they did neither. instead, chelsea were gifted chance after chance and gave them a thoroughly deserved hiding.
i think big phil is a good manager, but is absolutely, positively overrated. as a squad, i feel as if chelsea lack balance compared to manchester united, particularly if/when united sign a proper striker. john terry was quite adamant that chelsea underperformed last season and united had reached their peak, which was preposterous when you look at the way an older chelsea team ground out wins whilst a younger united team blew past so many competitors. if anything, united can expect players like nani and anderson to improve this season, as few young players from south america or europe adjust properly to the premiership until their second seasons. owen hargreaves should be fitter, michael carrick will only improve with age and european experience, whilst wayne rooney will benefit from playing alongside a proper striker (if they ever sign one). ronaldo probably won't score 42 goals again, but considering the man is 23 years old it is fundamentally unlikely, barring injury, that he has reached a peak.
rather, it is the older chelsea team that is more likely to decline, with lampard and ballack both the wrong side of 30 & didier drogba increasingly injury prone. deco is truly one of my favourite players in world football - i thought barca were absolutely crazy to sell him - but it is difficult to imagine he will play as he did on sunday, week in, week out, in his first season in the premiership, at the age of 31 (as he will be in about a week's time). also, when you look at the squad - ridiculously overloaded with central midfielders and strikers - you can imagine them getting bogged down at times, which is exactly the reason they have been unsuccessfully chasing robinho.
i will be very interested to see how phil copes against the big teams, the real challengers, and the teams that try and match chelsea in central midfield. very interested indeed.
2. don't get too worried about united. as i have alluded to above, this could potentially be a better team than last year. i think they can do without a "proper" striker against most teams - at least when they get ronaldo back - but the prospect of them playing 4-2-3-1 with hargreaves & carrick holding, ronaldo, rooney and anderson/nani behind berbatov is truly, truly frightening.
3. ramos got some things wrong.
first thing: benoit assou-ekotto may have talent, but that talent isn't defending. even if gareth bale isn't any better on that basis, i would still rather have him in the team as he just has more quality. the main feature of ramos's sevilla side was the buccaneering full-backs, and i feel as if bale has a great chance to do that for spurs, given a run in the team.
second thing: modric-jenas isn't a partnership that will work. i mean, i get it. modric is the deep-lying playmaker in the mould of andrea pirlo, whilst jenas does the running around in the mould of gattuso. the problem is that jenas doesn't have the bite of gattuso or the defensive nous, and whilst modric isn't hopeless defensively he has absolutely no physical presence, and whilst pirlo might be able to get away with that in serie a, asking modric to play that position in his first premiership game is very hopeful. as it turned out, with those two, the spurs back four had little protection.
the name of miguel veloso was floated as the answer to our defensive midfield problems, but i was hoping that huddlestone would fit into the side as the defensive presence in midfield. however, if ramos doesn't agree, it is imperative he signs a tackling midfielder before september 1st. without that, spurs will be easy prey for many sides.
4. arsene wenger is an idiot.
alright, he's not an idiot. actually, i would say he's the best manager in the premiership. people moan about the "big four", and champions league football entrenching a status quo in english football. this is, of course, nonsense. wenger has built an outstanding premiership side on a relative pittance, spending half as much as spurs since he took the arsenal job in 1996. he is better than any manager i have ever seen at assessing young talent; you can praise his scouting network all you like, but the fact remains he selects the squad and it is a testament to his ability that the players that do not make it almost invariably fail elsewhere. (as a spurs fan, this is actually the only thing about the bentley signing that worries me - wenger actually let him go. this rarely works out.)
however, his deeply idiosyncratic, highly successful method has never looked as wilfully childish as it does now. a refusal to countenance buying the players his squad
needed is just downright bizarre, almost as if he's trying to make a stand against the harrods trolley dash approach of chelsea. he said a few weeks ago that arsenal are now a selling club, in order to meet the bank payments against the emirates, but i'm pretty sure that isn't true - i think peter hill-wood and keith edelman have both been on record saying that arsenal have the money to spend, and the coffers will be positively overflowing when the highbury square flats are all sold. so why then, when arsenal needed one more winger last season (making that two when alex hleb forced his departure), when they were lacking at both right back, centre back and central midfield, has wenger only signed samir nasri, 17 year-old aaron ramsey and amaury bischoff (who, if memory serves, didn't play one first team game with werder bremen)?
i am very interested to see if wenger opts to play alexandre song in central midfield alongside fabregas when he returns from beijing, as i thought he was excellent playing there for cameroon in the african nations' cup. he would also add some physicality into what is an otherwise lightweight midfield, and bolster arsenal's defending of set pieces. however, his last experience of premiership football was a shaky cameo in the back four last season and he still represents a risk; it is still a risk, and one injury to him risks playing denilson (a fabregas clone) or abou diaby (who has demonstrated neither the intelligence nor the drive to play central midfield on a consistent basis). there has been rumours of gohkan inler, the udinese player, but, frankly, i would like to see them make a run at a better player.
at the back, i have no idea what wenger is thinking. kolo toure seemed to regress last year, and although that may have been because he was playing injured, having to rely on senderos as your second option isn't good enough. for a man of his bulk, senderos can't be trusted against strikers that will try and test him physically, and arsenal need someone with real presence to partner one of gallas and toure, who are both smaller and pacier. at chelsea gallas was frequently superb, but benefitted from playing alongside john terry; at arsenal, he needs something similar.
wenger needs to get his cheque-book out, or risk consigning his team to moral victories only.
5. rafa benitez might not be that good.
i can't decide.
on the plus side, he's won two la liga titles, a uefa cup and a champions league. liverpool lost their second champions league final under his guidance, but were the better side and should have won. that in itself is pretty special.
on the negative side, he's obviously not managed true success in the premier league with liverpool. alright, true, his period in charge has coincided with the most pressurised, difficult time in the history of the premier league, with the spend of chelsea (and their success under mourinho) driving higher standards than ever before. just look at points totals required to win the league now - i don't have them to hand, but to win requires a level of dominance unheard of during the first decade of fergie's reign at old trafford.
what troubles me is the dichotomy between his league results in spain and england. what could be the difference? well, in spain he didn't sign the players. he worked under a sporting director at valencia, and although they had their differences (differences which drove him to leave for a league in which he would be granted complete power over transfers), he was delivered a side replete with quality, that had a real core and that maintained success despite losing the players that had initially driven them to continental reknown.
at liverpool, he selects the targets and rick parry signs them (or doesn't, as we have seen). now i'm not privy to the goings on within anfield, but there is, for instance, no way that parry played talent evaluator and signed robbie keane without asking benitez. i think we can assume that throughout his reign, benitez has personally selected every player signed by the club.
so, he has a transfer record, and that transfer record is a patchy one. too many players - kuyt, benayoun, pennant, nunez, josemi, crouch, zenden, bellamy, garcia - who were patently not good enough for a championship contender have been signed for decent amounts of money. don't get me wrong, he's made good signings: torres (and i wasn't sure about that), skrtel, agger, alonso, reina, arbeloa, mascherano (although i feel he was overpriced). i will give lucas & babel the benefit of the doubt, even if babel, a man who cannot finish, sees himself as a central striker. and the scouting system has been stocked with some promising youngsters. but it is a mixed record, and one that doesn't necessarily fill you with confidence if you're a liverpool fan hoping for another title.
my main point here is two-fold.
one fold is named barry, the other is named keane.
i am probably alone in the fact i like the idea of liverpool signing barry. i don't think he's a better playing than xabi, but i think he's a better player for liverpool at this point than xabi. a central midfield of xabi-mascherano-gerrard is good, but features two players that will sit very deep, and three right-footers. swapping in barry means you have someone who will play further up the pitch, help link play down the left and provide more of a goal-scoring threat. barry-macherano-gerrard is a very nicely balanced midfield in my eyes. that isn't to say he's worth £18m - the idea that because two "england midfielders" cost £18m he should too is utterly ridiculous because it ignores the simple fact that both hargreaves and carrick are better footballers - but i think he would be a good purchase.
i don't think the same about robbie keane. i've seen a lot of robbie keane the past few years, and i'll admit i have a massive soft-spot for him. however, i have never got the sense he is a top-class performer. for all of the goals he still isn't a deadly finisher, and for all of the pretty link-up play with berbatov he still runs down many a blind alley. technically he is good but not outstanding.
more importantly, i have no idea why liverpool have signed him. for the squad they have, and based on last year's performance, you would imagine they would stick with the 4-2-3-1. also based on last year's performance, you would imagine they might buy a winger. currently they have two strikers, babel and kuyt, as their first choice wingers. neither of those players delivers a quality of service that a player of torres demands, and neither fits particularly well with gerrard. where does keane fit in here? and if they play 4-4-2, who plays on the wings? gerrard and... babel?
so i've now seen two liverpool performances this week. both have been terrible. keane and torres haven't combined very well, but i'll give them the benefit of the doubt. what is most worrying that they just haven't addressed their main problems of last year, so the idea of them finishing even second (ahead of either united or chelsea) seems remarkably unlikely.
****
we'll assume i need to do some actual work today and forget the other five.